Question about book solution to estimate $E[e^{XY}]$ when $X$ and $Y$ are independent exponential RVs with...











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Let $X$ and $Y$ be independent exponential random variables with mean 1. (a) Explain how we could use simulation to estimate $E[e^{XY}]$. (b) Show how to improve the estimation approach in part (a) by using a control variate.




The red box (see screenshot) in the book solution makes sense to me.



I don't understand the blue box. It seems to me the blue box estimator will not have the same expected value as $E[e^{XY}]$ and is missing a "$-c$" in the numerator because $E[X_i Y_i] = E[X_i] E[Y_i] = 1$



So I think the blue box should actually be



$$sum_{i=1}^n frac{e^{X_i Y_i} + c X_i Y_i - c}{n}$$



Will the blue box estimator have the same expected value as $E[e^{XY}]$? Thanks for your help I'm learning about control variates for the first time.



Book Solution



enter image description here










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    up vote
    1
    down vote

    favorite













    Let $X$ and $Y$ be independent exponential random variables with mean 1. (a) Explain how we could use simulation to estimate $E[e^{XY}]$. (b) Show how to improve the estimation approach in part (a) by using a control variate.




    The red box (see screenshot) in the book solution makes sense to me.



    I don't understand the blue box. It seems to me the blue box estimator will not have the same expected value as $E[e^{XY}]$ and is missing a "$-c$" in the numerator because $E[X_i Y_i] = E[X_i] E[Y_i] = 1$



    So I think the blue box should actually be



    $$sum_{i=1}^n frac{e^{X_i Y_i} + c X_i Y_i - c}{n}$$



    Will the blue box estimator have the same expected value as $E[e^{XY}]$? Thanks for your help I'm learning about control variates for the first time.



    Book Solution



    enter image description here










    share|cite|improve this question
























      up vote
      1
      down vote

      favorite









      up vote
      1
      down vote

      favorite












      Let $X$ and $Y$ be independent exponential random variables with mean 1. (a) Explain how we could use simulation to estimate $E[e^{XY}]$. (b) Show how to improve the estimation approach in part (a) by using a control variate.




      The red box (see screenshot) in the book solution makes sense to me.



      I don't understand the blue box. It seems to me the blue box estimator will not have the same expected value as $E[e^{XY}]$ and is missing a "$-c$" in the numerator because $E[X_i Y_i] = E[X_i] E[Y_i] = 1$



      So I think the blue box should actually be



      $$sum_{i=1}^n frac{e^{X_i Y_i} + c X_i Y_i - c}{n}$$



      Will the blue box estimator have the same expected value as $E[e^{XY}]$? Thanks for your help I'm learning about control variates for the first time.



      Book Solution



      enter image description here










      share|cite|improve this question














      Let $X$ and $Y$ be independent exponential random variables with mean 1. (a) Explain how we could use simulation to estimate $E[e^{XY}]$. (b) Show how to improve the estimation approach in part (a) by using a control variate.




      The red box (see screenshot) in the book solution makes sense to me.



      I don't understand the blue box. It seems to me the blue box estimator will not have the same expected value as $E[e^{XY}]$ and is missing a "$-c$" in the numerator because $E[X_i Y_i] = E[X_i] E[Y_i] = 1$



      So I think the blue box should actually be



      $$sum_{i=1}^n frac{e^{X_i Y_i} + c X_i Y_i - c}{n}$$



      Will the blue box estimator have the same expected value as $E[e^{XY}]$? Thanks for your help I'm learning about control variates for the first time.



      Book Solution



      enter image description here







      probability law-of-large-numbers expected-value






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      asked Nov 17 at 18:41









      HJ_beginner

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          Yes, for $c in mathbb{R}$ the first should be $$frac{1}{n}sum_{i=1}^n[e^{X_iY_i} + cunderbrace{(X_iY_i-1)}_{mbox{mean 0}}]$$ and also the second should be $$frac{1}{n}sum_{i=1}^n[e^{X_iY_i} + cunderbrace{(X_iY_i + X_i^2Y_i^2/2 - 3)}_{mbox{mean 0}}]$$
          Using $c=-1$ seems to be a good choice for reducing variance.






          share|cite|improve this answer





















          • Thanks for your help Michael! This was really bothering me, especially as it is the final question of the book that has taken me 2 years of self study to get through lol fml (fantastic book by Ross, I'm just slow)
            – HJ_beginner
            Nov 17 at 20:32













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          1 Answer
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          1 Answer
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          active

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          up vote
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          accepted










          Yes, for $c in mathbb{R}$ the first should be $$frac{1}{n}sum_{i=1}^n[e^{X_iY_i} + cunderbrace{(X_iY_i-1)}_{mbox{mean 0}}]$$ and also the second should be $$frac{1}{n}sum_{i=1}^n[e^{X_iY_i} + cunderbrace{(X_iY_i + X_i^2Y_i^2/2 - 3)}_{mbox{mean 0}}]$$
          Using $c=-1$ seems to be a good choice for reducing variance.






          share|cite|improve this answer





















          • Thanks for your help Michael! This was really bothering me, especially as it is the final question of the book that has taken me 2 years of self study to get through lol fml (fantastic book by Ross, I'm just slow)
            – HJ_beginner
            Nov 17 at 20:32

















          up vote
          1
          down vote



          accepted










          Yes, for $c in mathbb{R}$ the first should be $$frac{1}{n}sum_{i=1}^n[e^{X_iY_i} + cunderbrace{(X_iY_i-1)}_{mbox{mean 0}}]$$ and also the second should be $$frac{1}{n}sum_{i=1}^n[e^{X_iY_i} + cunderbrace{(X_iY_i + X_i^2Y_i^2/2 - 3)}_{mbox{mean 0}}]$$
          Using $c=-1$ seems to be a good choice for reducing variance.






          share|cite|improve this answer





















          • Thanks for your help Michael! This was really bothering me, especially as it is the final question of the book that has taken me 2 years of self study to get through lol fml (fantastic book by Ross, I'm just slow)
            – HJ_beginner
            Nov 17 at 20:32















          up vote
          1
          down vote



          accepted







          up vote
          1
          down vote



          accepted






          Yes, for $c in mathbb{R}$ the first should be $$frac{1}{n}sum_{i=1}^n[e^{X_iY_i} + cunderbrace{(X_iY_i-1)}_{mbox{mean 0}}]$$ and also the second should be $$frac{1}{n}sum_{i=1}^n[e^{X_iY_i} + cunderbrace{(X_iY_i + X_i^2Y_i^2/2 - 3)}_{mbox{mean 0}}]$$
          Using $c=-1$ seems to be a good choice for reducing variance.






          share|cite|improve this answer












          Yes, for $c in mathbb{R}$ the first should be $$frac{1}{n}sum_{i=1}^n[e^{X_iY_i} + cunderbrace{(X_iY_i-1)}_{mbox{mean 0}}]$$ and also the second should be $$frac{1}{n}sum_{i=1}^n[e^{X_iY_i} + cunderbrace{(X_iY_i + X_i^2Y_i^2/2 - 3)}_{mbox{mean 0}}]$$
          Using $c=-1$ seems to be a good choice for reducing variance.







          share|cite|improve this answer












          share|cite|improve this answer



          share|cite|improve this answer










          answered Nov 17 at 19:57









          Michael

          13.1k11325




          13.1k11325












          • Thanks for your help Michael! This was really bothering me, especially as it is the final question of the book that has taken me 2 years of self study to get through lol fml (fantastic book by Ross, I'm just slow)
            – HJ_beginner
            Nov 17 at 20:32




















          • Thanks for your help Michael! This was really bothering me, especially as it is the final question of the book that has taken me 2 years of self study to get through lol fml (fantastic book by Ross, I'm just slow)
            – HJ_beginner
            Nov 17 at 20:32


















          Thanks for your help Michael! This was really bothering me, especially as it is the final question of the book that has taken me 2 years of self study to get through lol fml (fantastic book by Ross, I'm just slow)
          – HJ_beginner
          Nov 17 at 20:32






          Thanks for your help Michael! This was really bothering me, especially as it is the final question of the book that has taken me 2 years of self study to get through lol fml (fantastic book by Ross, I'm just slow)
          – HJ_beginner
          Nov 17 at 20:32




















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