Higher Variance due to Overfitting.











up vote
0
down vote

favorite












This is a homework question.



Consider the following two regression models
$$mathbf y=mathbf X_1mathbf {beta_1} + mathbf {varepsilon}$$
$$mathbf y=mathbf X_1mathbf {beta_1} + mathbf X_2mathbf {beta_2} + mathbf {varepsilon}$$



Where $operatorname{Disp} (mathbf {varepsilon}) =sigma^2mathbf I$



Now, if the first model is correct, show that for any vector $mathbf u$ one has



$$operatorname{Var} left( mathbf {u'}hat {mathbf {beta_1}}^{(2)}right) ge operatorname{Var} left( mathbf {u'}hat {mathbf {beta_1}}^{(1)}right)$$



Where $hat{mathbf beta_1}^{(1)}$ and $hat {mathbf beta_1}^{(2)}$ are the Least-Square estimators of $mathbf beta_1$ from the first and second models respectively.



My attempt: The Least-Square (LS) estimators of $mathbf beta_1$ obtained from the first and second models are
$$hat {mathbf {beta_1}}^{(1)}=mathbf {(X_1'X_1)^{-1}X_1'y}$$
$$hat {mathbf {beta_1}}^{(2)}=mathbf {(X_1'X_1)^{-1}X_1'}( mathbf y - mathbf {X_2hat {beta_2}^{(2)}})$$
Now since $mathbf {hat beta_2^{(2)}}$ is the LS estimator of $mathbf beta_2$, it is a linear function of $mathbf y$. So we may write $mathbf {X_2hat beta_2^{(2)}}= mathbf {Sy}$. Hence



$operatorname{Var} left( mathbf {u'}hat {mathbf {beta_1}}^{(2)}right) - operatorname{Var} left( mathbf {u'}hat {mathbf {beta_1}}^{(1)}right)$



$= sigma^2Bigl( mathbf {u'left(X_1'X_1right)^{-1}X_1'left(I - Sright)'left(I - Sright)X_1left(X_1'X_1right)^{-1}u - u'left(X_1'X_1right)^{-1}X_1'X_1left(X_1'X_1right)^{-1}u}Bigr)$



$= sigma^2Bigl(mathbf {z'(I - S)'(I - S)z - z'z}Bigr)$



$Bigl($Where $mathbf z = mathbf {X_1left(X_1'X_1right)^{-1}u}$ $Bigr)$



$= sigma^2Bigl(mathbf {z'SS'z - z'S'z -z'Sz}Bigr)$



Now this is where I am stuck. I know that the first term in the brackets is non-negative as the matrix $mathbf {SS'}$ is non-negative definite, but the two negative terms are something that I am completely unable to comment on. Any help would be appreciated. Thanks.










share|cite|improve this question






















  • If you're going to simultaneously cross-post the same question on two (or more?) different forums, please list the other forums and keep each forum informed as to the status (especially if you've accepted an answer). Otherwise you're wasting folks' time. stats.stackexchange.com/questions/377500/…
    – JimB
    Nov 17 at 15:21












  • Sure, I'll gladly keep the forum(s) informed if someone graces my question with an answer. Until then, what else can I do?
    – Neel
    Nov 17 at 16:42















up vote
0
down vote

favorite












This is a homework question.



Consider the following two regression models
$$mathbf y=mathbf X_1mathbf {beta_1} + mathbf {varepsilon}$$
$$mathbf y=mathbf X_1mathbf {beta_1} + mathbf X_2mathbf {beta_2} + mathbf {varepsilon}$$



Where $operatorname{Disp} (mathbf {varepsilon}) =sigma^2mathbf I$



Now, if the first model is correct, show that for any vector $mathbf u$ one has



$$operatorname{Var} left( mathbf {u'}hat {mathbf {beta_1}}^{(2)}right) ge operatorname{Var} left( mathbf {u'}hat {mathbf {beta_1}}^{(1)}right)$$



Where $hat{mathbf beta_1}^{(1)}$ and $hat {mathbf beta_1}^{(2)}$ are the Least-Square estimators of $mathbf beta_1$ from the first and second models respectively.



My attempt: The Least-Square (LS) estimators of $mathbf beta_1$ obtained from the first and second models are
$$hat {mathbf {beta_1}}^{(1)}=mathbf {(X_1'X_1)^{-1}X_1'y}$$
$$hat {mathbf {beta_1}}^{(2)}=mathbf {(X_1'X_1)^{-1}X_1'}( mathbf y - mathbf {X_2hat {beta_2}^{(2)}})$$
Now since $mathbf {hat beta_2^{(2)}}$ is the LS estimator of $mathbf beta_2$, it is a linear function of $mathbf y$. So we may write $mathbf {X_2hat beta_2^{(2)}}= mathbf {Sy}$. Hence



$operatorname{Var} left( mathbf {u'}hat {mathbf {beta_1}}^{(2)}right) - operatorname{Var} left( mathbf {u'}hat {mathbf {beta_1}}^{(1)}right)$



$= sigma^2Bigl( mathbf {u'left(X_1'X_1right)^{-1}X_1'left(I - Sright)'left(I - Sright)X_1left(X_1'X_1right)^{-1}u - u'left(X_1'X_1right)^{-1}X_1'X_1left(X_1'X_1right)^{-1}u}Bigr)$



$= sigma^2Bigl(mathbf {z'(I - S)'(I - S)z - z'z}Bigr)$



$Bigl($Where $mathbf z = mathbf {X_1left(X_1'X_1right)^{-1}u}$ $Bigr)$



$= sigma^2Bigl(mathbf {z'SS'z - z'S'z -z'Sz}Bigr)$



Now this is where I am stuck. I know that the first term in the brackets is non-negative as the matrix $mathbf {SS'}$ is non-negative definite, but the two negative terms are something that I am completely unable to comment on. Any help would be appreciated. Thanks.










share|cite|improve this question






















  • If you're going to simultaneously cross-post the same question on two (or more?) different forums, please list the other forums and keep each forum informed as to the status (especially if you've accepted an answer). Otherwise you're wasting folks' time. stats.stackexchange.com/questions/377500/…
    – JimB
    Nov 17 at 15:21












  • Sure, I'll gladly keep the forum(s) informed if someone graces my question with an answer. Until then, what else can I do?
    – Neel
    Nov 17 at 16:42













up vote
0
down vote

favorite









up vote
0
down vote

favorite











This is a homework question.



Consider the following two regression models
$$mathbf y=mathbf X_1mathbf {beta_1} + mathbf {varepsilon}$$
$$mathbf y=mathbf X_1mathbf {beta_1} + mathbf X_2mathbf {beta_2} + mathbf {varepsilon}$$



Where $operatorname{Disp} (mathbf {varepsilon}) =sigma^2mathbf I$



Now, if the first model is correct, show that for any vector $mathbf u$ one has



$$operatorname{Var} left( mathbf {u'}hat {mathbf {beta_1}}^{(2)}right) ge operatorname{Var} left( mathbf {u'}hat {mathbf {beta_1}}^{(1)}right)$$



Where $hat{mathbf beta_1}^{(1)}$ and $hat {mathbf beta_1}^{(2)}$ are the Least-Square estimators of $mathbf beta_1$ from the first and second models respectively.



My attempt: The Least-Square (LS) estimators of $mathbf beta_1$ obtained from the first and second models are
$$hat {mathbf {beta_1}}^{(1)}=mathbf {(X_1'X_1)^{-1}X_1'y}$$
$$hat {mathbf {beta_1}}^{(2)}=mathbf {(X_1'X_1)^{-1}X_1'}( mathbf y - mathbf {X_2hat {beta_2}^{(2)}})$$
Now since $mathbf {hat beta_2^{(2)}}$ is the LS estimator of $mathbf beta_2$, it is a linear function of $mathbf y$. So we may write $mathbf {X_2hat beta_2^{(2)}}= mathbf {Sy}$. Hence



$operatorname{Var} left( mathbf {u'}hat {mathbf {beta_1}}^{(2)}right) - operatorname{Var} left( mathbf {u'}hat {mathbf {beta_1}}^{(1)}right)$



$= sigma^2Bigl( mathbf {u'left(X_1'X_1right)^{-1}X_1'left(I - Sright)'left(I - Sright)X_1left(X_1'X_1right)^{-1}u - u'left(X_1'X_1right)^{-1}X_1'X_1left(X_1'X_1right)^{-1}u}Bigr)$



$= sigma^2Bigl(mathbf {z'(I - S)'(I - S)z - z'z}Bigr)$



$Bigl($Where $mathbf z = mathbf {X_1left(X_1'X_1right)^{-1}u}$ $Bigr)$



$= sigma^2Bigl(mathbf {z'SS'z - z'S'z -z'Sz}Bigr)$



Now this is where I am stuck. I know that the first term in the brackets is non-negative as the matrix $mathbf {SS'}$ is non-negative definite, but the two negative terms are something that I am completely unable to comment on. Any help would be appreciated. Thanks.










share|cite|improve this question













This is a homework question.



Consider the following two regression models
$$mathbf y=mathbf X_1mathbf {beta_1} + mathbf {varepsilon}$$
$$mathbf y=mathbf X_1mathbf {beta_1} + mathbf X_2mathbf {beta_2} + mathbf {varepsilon}$$



Where $operatorname{Disp} (mathbf {varepsilon}) =sigma^2mathbf I$



Now, if the first model is correct, show that for any vector $mathbf u$ one has



$$operatorname{Var} left( mathbf {u'}hat {mathbf {beta_1}}^{(2)}right) ge operatorname{Var} left( mathbf {u'}hat {mathbf {beta_1}}^{(1)}right)$$



Where $hat{mathbf beta_1}^{(1)}$ and $hat {mathbf beta_1}^{(2)}$ are the Least-Square estimators of $mathbf beta_1$ from the first and second models respectively.



My attempt: The Least-Square (LS) estimators of $mathbf beta_1$ obtained from the first and second models are
$$hat {mathbf {beta_1}}^{(1)}=mathbf {(X_1'X_1)^{-1}X_1'y}$$
$$hat {mathbf {beta_1}}^{(2)}=mathbf {(X_1'X_1)^{-1}X_1'}( mathbf y - mathbf {X_2hat {beta_2}^{(2)}})$$
Now since $mathbf {hat beta_2^{(2)}}$ is the LS estimator of $mathbf beta_2$, it is a linear function of $mathbf y$. So we may write $mathbf {X_2hat beta_2^{(2)}}= mathbf {Sy}$. Hence



$operatorname{Var} left( mathbf {u'}hat {mathbf {beta_1}}^{(2)}right) - operatorname{Var} left( mathbf {u'}hat {mathbf {beta_1}}^{(1)}right)$



$= sigma^2Bigl( mathbf {u'left(X_1'X_1right)^{-1}X_1'left(I - Sright)'left(I - Sright)X_1left(X_1'X_1right)^{-1}u - u'left(X_1'X_1right)^{-1}X_1'X_1left(X_1'X_1right)^{-1}u}Bigr)$



$= sigma^2Bigl(mathbf {z'(I - S)'(I - S)z - z'z}Bigr)$



$Bigl($Where $mathbf z = mathbf {X_1left(X_1'X_1right)^{-1}u}$ $Bigr)$



$= sigma^2Bigl(mathbf {z'SS'z - z'S'z -z'Sz}Bigr)$



Now this is where I am stuck. I know that the first term in the brackets is non-negative as the matrix $mathbf {SS'}$ is non-negative definite, but the two negative terms are something that I am completely unable to comment on. Any help would be appreciated. Thanks.







statistics self-learning regression regression-analysis






share|cite|improve this question













share|cite|improve this question











share|cite|improve this question




share|cite|improve this question










asked Nov 17 at 12:25









Neel

516




516












  • If you're going to simultaneously cross-post the same question on two (or more?) different forums, please list the other forums and keep each forum informed as to the status (especially if you've accepted an answer). Otherwise you're wasting folks' time. stats.stackexchange.com/questions/377500/…
    – JimB
    Nov 17 at 15:21












  • Sure, I'll gladly keep the forum(s) informed if someone graces my question with an answer. Until then, what else can I do?
    – Neel
    Nov 17 at 16:42


















  • If you're going to simultaneously cross-post the same question on two (or more?) different forums, please list the other forums and keep each forum informed as to the status (especially if you've accepted an answer). Otherwise you're wasting folks' time. stats.stackexchange.com/questions/377500/…
    – JimB
    Nov 17 at 15:21












  • Sure, I'll gladly keep the forum(s) informed if someone graces my question with an answer. Until then, what else can I do?
    – Neel
    Nov 17 at 16:42
















If you're going to simultaneously cross-post the same question on two (or more?) different forums, please list the other forums and keep each forum informed as to the status (especially if you've accepted an answer). Otherwise you're wasting folks' time. stats.stackexchange.com/questions/377500/…
– JimB
Nov 17 at 15:21






If you're going to simultaneously cross-post the same question on two (or more?) different forums, please list the other forums and keep each forum informed as to the status (especially if you've accepted an answer). Otherwise you're wasting folks' time. stats.stackexchange.com/questions/377500/…
– JimB
Nov 17 at 15:21














Sure, I'll gladly keep the forum(s) informed if someone graces my question with an answer. Until then, what else can I do?
– Neel
Nov 17 at 16:42




Sure, I'll gladly keep the forum(s) informed if someone graces my question with an answer. Until then, what else can I do?
– Neel
Nov 17 at 16:42















active

oldest

votes











Your Answer





StackExchange.ifUsing("editor", function () {
return StackExchange.using("mathjaxEditing", function () {
StackExchange.MarkdownEditor.creationCallbacks.add(function (editor, postfix) {
StackExchange.mathjaxEditing.prepareWmdForMathJax(editor, postfix, [["$", "$"], ["\\(","\\)"]]);
});
});
}, "mathjax-editing");

StackExchange.ready(function() {
var channelOptions = {
tags: "".split(" "),
id: "69"
};
initTagRenderer("".split(" "), "".split(" "), channelOptions);

StackExchange.using("externalEditor", function() {
// Have to fire editor after snippets, if snippets enabled
if (StackExchange.settings.snippets.snippetsEnabled) {
StackExchange.using("snippets", function() {
createEditor();
});
}
else {
createEditor();
}
});

function createEditor() {
StackExchange.prepareEditor({
heartbeatType: 'answer',
convertImagesToLinks: true,
noModals: true,
showLowRepImageUploadWarning: true,
reputationToPostImages: 10,
bindNavPrevention: true,
postfix: "",
imageUploader: {
brandingHtml: "Powered by u003ca class="icon-imgur-white" href="https://imgur.com/"u003eu003c/au003e",
contentPolicyHtml: "User contributions licensed under u003ca href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/"u003ecc by-sa 3.0 with attribution requiredu003c/au003e u003ca href="https://stackoverflow.com/legal/content-policy"u003e(content policy)u003c/au003e",
allowUrls: true
},
noCode: true, onDemand: true,
discardSelector: ".discard-answer"
,immediatelyShowMarkdownHelp:true
});


}
});














draft saved

draft discarded


















StackExchange.ready(
function () {
StackExchange.openid.initPostLogin('.new-post-login', 'https%3a%2f%2fmath.stackexchange.com%2fquestions%2f3002305%2fhigher-variance-due-to-overfitting%23new-answer', 'question_page');
}
);

Post as a guest















Required, but never shown






























active

oldest

votes













active

oldest

votes









active

oldest

votes






active

oldest

votes
















draft saved

draft discarded




















































Thanks for contributing an answer to Mathematics Stack Exchange!


  • Please be sure to answer the question. Provide details and share your research!

But avoid



  • Asking for help, clarification, or responding to other answers.

  • Making statements based on opinion; back them up with references or personal experience.


Use MathJax to format equations. MathJax reference.


To learn more, see our tips on writing great answers.





Some of your past answers have not been well-received, and you're in danger of being blocked from answering.


Please pay close attention to the following guidance:


  • Please be sure to answer the question. Provide details and share your research!

But avoid



  • Asking for help, clarification, or responding to other answers.

  • Making statements based on opinion; back them up with references or personal experience.


To learn more, see our tips on writing great answers.




draft saved


draft discarded














StackExchange.ready(
function () {
StackExchange.openid.initPostLogin('.new-post-login', 'https%3a%2f%2fmath.stackexchange.com%2fquestions%2f3002305%2fhigher-variance-due-to-overfitting%23new-answer', 'question_page');
}
);

Post as a guest















Required, but never shown





















































Required, but never shown














Required, but never shown












Required, but never shown







Required, but never shown

































Required, but never shown














Required, but never shown












Required, but never shown







Required, but never shown







Popular posts from this blog

QoS: MAC-Priority for clients behind a repeater

Ивакино (Тотемский район)

Can't locate Autom4te/ChannelDefs.pm in @INC (when it definitely is there)